Box Office Predictions for July 24-26
Author: Sterling Heltzel | Filed under: Uncategorized
What can you expect at the box office this weekend? You can expect us to out-predict Box Office Addicts, the Evan Tubben ran box office site with “expert analysis”. Get ready to be pwned, sir.
G-Force is bound to make 28 million with the blitz of child-marketing and the Disney force that made Beverly Hills Chihuahua make a boatload last year. The Ugly Truth and The 40 Year Old Dwarf Hooker both have their genre conventions locked up too, and will both do the numbers they’re expected, in what is pretty much an incredibly boring weekend.
1. Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince: 35,100,000 (-54.9%)
2. G-Force: 28,600,000 (OPENER)
3. The Ugly Truth: 18,300,000 (OPENER)
4. Orphan: 16,100,000 (OPENER)
5. Ice Age: Dawn of the Dinosaurs: 10,500,000 (-40.1%)
6. Transformers: Revenge of the Fallen: 7,900,000 (-42.4%)
7. The Hangover: 6,300,000 (-23.5%)
8. The Proposal: 5,400,000 (-34.6%)
9. Public Enemies: 4,500,000 (-41.9%)
10. Bruno: 3,000,000 (-64.5%)
Expanding:
500 Days of Summer: 1,800,000 (85 theaters)
The Hurt Locker: 1,700,000 (238 theaters)
Popularity: 1% [?]
Tags: box office, box office addicts, box office analysis, box office predictions, g-force, g-force box office, Orphan, orphan box office, ugly truth, ugly truth box office
July 24th, 2009 at 4:23 pm
Harry Potter is going to drop way more, that shit is beyond frontloaded.
And Evan has a site? LOL.
July 24th, 2009 at 4:27 pm
Order of the Phoenix dropped 56% on second weekend. WOM cancels out frontloadedness.
July 24th, 2009 at 5:18 pm
I trust this analysis much more than Evan’s so called “tracking”.
July 24th, 2009 at 6:15 pm
Order dropped almost 58% (just checked BOM), and this is having worse weekday drops, plus, HBP’s OD was 14m bigger than OotP’s, but they had a 3-day weekend separated by just a few hundred thousand.
July 25th, 2009 at 1:23 pm
To Jmovies: Estimated BOA % – 88%; Estimated PA % – 86%
July 25th, 2009 at 1:36 pm
Two percent based off the multipliers you’ve set.
July 25th, 2009 at 7:32 pm
They’re projections, I didn’t make them bias to my predictions. Do you think you’ll have a higher score with actuals?
July 26th, 2009 at 6:10 pm
LOL. The fight seems to have come to PostAvant. Shame.
August 3rd, 2009 at 12:56 am
is 500 days of summer any good? i relally wanted to see it
August 3rd, 2009 at 12:57 am
It’s dandy.